14 Comments

Will the great chop be like the yacht scene in Wolf of Wall St?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=u4ppoDl1K8w

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this is the video of the month of Sept 2023 -- you see what I did there?

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nodding in agreement

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A great article that makes a lot of sense about the TQT with regards to longer dated treasuries. A very important observation about buying treasury duration risk that must be offset by selling other risk assets in the portfolio.

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Excellent. Really appreciate your work!

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thank you!

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Great article thanks so much!

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Aug 28, 2023
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everybody who wants to buy stocks will be able to access credit to do so

passive funds AND hedge funds AND many more entities

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So for the stock market to dip, it needs a credit event, which reduces liquidity ?

What could cause such an event ?

In 2008 it was the market figuring out that the collateral (MBS) they were using for lending was not worth what they thought it was caused a credit freeze. What could be similar event in 2023/24 which could cause a credit/liquidity crisis? Is it that the cost of credit is more than what you can make yolo'ing in the market?

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It could be a credit event originating in the realms of sovereign junk debt. Perhaps some evidence of it in Japan.

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Aug 14, 2023
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@Michael- an imbecile is someone who refuses to learn. So, my definition, that’s not you!

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Well said.

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and the best part is that we get to pay for the privilege of feeling dumb.

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welcome to the party!

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